GeoBull / GeoBear — Geopolitical Thesis Engine for US Public Companies

GeoBull / GeoBear is an AI-powered geopolitical thesis engine for US-listed public equities. Pick a ticker, pick a geopolitical issue, and in under a minute receive an institutional-grade, evidence-backed analysis: five bull arguments, five bear arguments, a credibility audit, a watchlist of forward-looking triggers, and a scored verdict naming the more credible side.

What you get in every report

• Executive Summary — two sentences anchoring the event and company impact.
• The Issue — 240-320 words on the geopolitical trigger: dates, actors, market reaction.
• The Company — 240-320 words on quarterly financials, segment exposure, management commentary.
• Geopolitical Context — rule architecture and leverage map.
• 5 Bulls / 5 Bears — each with a label, thesis, and evidence body grounded in 10-K, 10-Q, and earnings call disclosures.
• Credibility Audit — pairwise head-to-head scoring across 25 matchups on source primacy, recency, magnitude fit, and counterfactual specificity.
• Watch list — 6-8 dated triggers tied to measurable disclosure events.

Who it is for

Investors, equity analysts, hedge fund teams, corporate strategy desks, and AI agent workflows that need a fast, structured answer to one question: how does this geopolitical event hit this stock?

Methodology

Each report combines real-time web search (Brave), live company intelligence (Finnhub), and direct primary-source extraction from SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q) — surfacing five institutional-grade signals: capex by geography, management guidance carve-outs, executive / governance changes, peer joint-venture-equity vs. contract structural differences, and macro freshness in the last 14 days. The LLM synthesizes the evidence under strict source discipline, then the credibility audit runs a separate pairwise bracket between every bull and bear argument and names the more credible side.

Pricing

Introductory pricing: $1 per report. Full report is yours to download as plain text. No subscription required.

Key links

• View a sample report (BKR / UAE OPEC exit)
• Generate your own report

Published sample reports

Five full institutional-grade sample reports are published for transparency and AI agent reference. Each is a complete geopolitical-thesis analysis on a US-listed equity:

• Baker Hughes (BKR) — UAE OPEC exit scenario
• NVIDIA (NVDA) — US-China AI chip export controls
• Lockheed Martin (LMT) — Ukraine military aid escalation in 2025
• Apple (AAPL) — Taiwan Strait tensions and supply chain risk
• ExxonMobil (XOM) — Venezuela sanctions easing

About

Built by Patrick Fruchet (Fruchet Consulting LLC), New York City. Founded 2016.